Cen Michigan
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 72.6098Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 A San Jose St MIDW ( 3- 9, 69.0) 16-14 906 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 8- 5, 82.9) 17-45 913 A Michigan B10 ( 9- 4, 84.2) 3-63 920 H Wagner 49-10 927 H Ea Michigan MIDA ( 4- 8, 67.1) 24-13 1004 A Akron MIDA ( 5- 7, 62.9) 22-28 1018 A Bowl. Green MIDA ( 4- 8, 64.0) 27- 6 1025 H UMass IND ( 0-12, 48.7) 38-13 1101 A We Michigan MIDA (10- 4, 76.3) 21-24 1112 H Buffalo MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.3) 38-19 1119 A Kent State MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.2) 28-16 1129 H Toledo MIDA ( 8- 5, 80.0) 3-21 1226 N Northwestern B10 ( 7- 6, 79.1) 7-34
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 A San Jose St 16-14 2 -2 + 3.63
906 A Pittsburgh 17-45 -28 -16 0.00
913 A Michigan 3-63 -60 -17 0.00
927 H Ea Michigan 24-13 11 11 0.25
1004 A Akron 22-28 -6 4 --- -10.42
1018 A Bowl. Green 27- 6 21 3 +++ 10.61
1025 H UMass 38-13 25 29 0.00
1101 A We Michigan 21-24 -3 -9 ++ 5.96
1112 H Buffalo 38-19 19 14 0.45
1119 A Kent State 28-16 12 3 +++ 8.89
1129 H Toledo 3-21 -18 -2 --- -11.90
1226 N Northwestern 7-34 -27 -7 --- -7.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 A Akron 22-28 -6 4 --- -10.42 1129 H Toledo 3-21 -18 -2 --- -11.90 1226 N Northwestern 7-34 -27 -7 --- -7.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A Bowl. Green 27- 6 21 3 +++ 10.61 1119 A Kent State 28-16 12 3 +++ 8.89 1101 A We Michigan 21-24 -3 -9 ++ 5.96 829 A San Jose St 16-14 2 -2 + 3.63 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A San Jose St ( 3- 9, 69.0) 16-14 -30.92 20.30 5.26 1.06 54.31
3 A Pittsburgh ( 8- 5, 82.9) 17-45 -16.99 34.23 5.26 1.06 -6.23
3 A Michigan ( 9- 4, 84.2) 3-63 -15.66 35.56 5.26 1.06 -5.53
3 H Ea Michigan ( 4- 8, 67.1) 24-13 -32.78 18.44 -5.26 1.06 28.01
3 A Akron ( 5- 7, 62.9) 22-28 -36.97 14.25 5.26 1.06 -16.85
3 A Bowl. Green ( 4- 8, 64.0) 27- 6 -35.94 15.28 5.26 1.06 43.65
3 H UMass ( 0-12, 48.7) 38-13 -51.22 1.00 -5.26 1.06 -9.05
3 A We Michigan (10- 4, 76.3) 21-24 -23.59 27.63 5.26 1.06 -9.74
3 H Buffalo ( 5- 7, 64.3) 38-19 -35.58 15.64 -5.26 1.06 22.05
3 A Kent State ( 5- 7, 64.2) 28-16 -35.66 15.56 5.26 1.06 44.24
3 H Toledo ( 8- 5, 80.0) 3-21 -19.94 31.28 -5.26 1.06 -13.38
3 N Northwestern ( 7- 6, 79.1) 7-34 -20.75 30.47 -0.00 1.06 -11.03
------
120.46
|
winning pts = 183.2150 losing points = -62.7571
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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